4/20/17, "
Baseball’s New Leadoff Hitters Don’t Need To Be Speed Demons," fivethirtyeight.com, "Just look at Kyle Schwarber." by Neil Paine
"Today’s leadoff men draw more walks and hit for substantially more
power than they did in previous generations — which, unsurprisingly,
leads to better production (i.e., a higher on-base plus slugging rate)
than in the past. But they’ve also changed
how they approach each at-bat: Relative to
overall trends in the game, leadoff hitters now launch more fly balls and hit to the opposite field less.
Even that fabled top-of-the-order speed is on the decline, with
leadoff men stealing 21 percent fewer bases per trip to first base
(again, after adjusting for league average) than they did just 15 years
earlier. Clearly, our mental image of a speedy slap-hitter leading off
is as outdated as a
25 cent hot dog."...
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